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Analysis Artyom Shraibman 09. August 2021

One year after the protests began — what’s Russia’s plan for Belarus?

A year ago protests began against elec­toral fraud in Belarus. Dic­ta­tor Lukashenko responded with a wave of harsh state vio­lence, which led to the country being further iso­lated and sanc­tioned internationally....

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 14. May 2021

Belarus: Rev­o­lu­tion Sup­pressed or Postponed?

The protests in Belarus in 2020 did not lead to a change in gov­ern­ment. But Lukashenko’s chosen way of brutal suppres­sion will not gain him any popular support — and is...

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 15. December 2020

Can the EU resolve Belarus conundrum?

A four-month stand-off between Belaru­sian strong­man Alexan­der Lukashenko and the pro-demo­c­ra­tic pro­test­ers posed a serious chal­lenge for the EU. The block that had announced its ambi­tion to become a geopo­lit­i­cal actor, has...

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 30. June 2020

Whom the West should support in Belarus? A time for a strate­gic approach

Tra­di­tional oppo­si­tion parties and move­ments has long seized to be a polit­i­cally mean­ing­ful force in Belarus. It is time for Western deci­­sion-makers to finally admit this unpleas­ant reality and shift its...