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Analysis Artyom Shraibman 19. December 2022

“Freezing the War Would Be Ideal for Lukashenka”

Lukaschenka präsen­tiert sich seinem Volk als Garant des Friedens, sein Regime scheint gefestigt – solange Russland den Krieg in der Ukraine nicht verliert. 

‌Felix Ackermann 09. August 2022

Lukashenka’s war against his own people

Since the protests in August 2020, the ille­git­i­mate lead­er­ship of the Republic of Belarus sees itself at war against the “collec­tive West”, but it is waging the battle against its...

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 09. August 2021

One year after the protests began — what’s Russia’s plan for Belarus?

A year ago protests began against electoral fraud in Belarus. Dictator Lukashenko responded with a wave of harsh state violence, which led to the country being further isolated and sanc­tioned internationally....

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 14. May 2021

Belarus: Revo­lu­tion Suppressed or Postponed?

The protests in Belarus in 2020 did not lead to a change in gov­ern­ment. But Lukashenko’s chosen way of brutal suppres­sion will not gain him any popular support — and is...

Foto: Shutterstock, qwret

Analysis Aksana Lutskaya 06. February 2021

The Birth of a new civil society in Belarus vs. a “European North Korea”

While violence thrives in silence, it has no chance to persist if brought to public attention. Inter­na­tional attention and support to the people in Belarus are now more crucial than...

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 15. December 2020

Can the EU resolve Belarus conundrum?

A four-month stand-off between Belaru­sian strongman Alexander Lukashenko and the pro-demo­c­ratic protesters posed a serious challenge for the EU. The block that had announced its ambition to become a geopo­lit­ical actor, has...

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 30. June 2020

Whom the West should support in Belarus? A time for a strategic approach

Tradi­tional oppo­si­tion parties and movements has long seized to be a polit­i­cally mean­ingful force in Belarus. It is time for Western decision-makers to finally admit this unpleasant reality and shift its...

‌Olga Karatsch 20. April 2020

Mortal Combat in Belarus: Lukashenko vs Coronavirus

Der belaru­sian President leaves it to orthodox priests und the KGB to fight the epidemic. The people are getting more and more upset because the govern­ment can no longer hide...

Policy Paper John Lough 31. October 2019

Belarus: Danger ahead – EU response needed

Many EU capitals regard Belarus as an extension of Russia and take little interest in it. EU leaders are also uncom­fort­able dealing with its long-time auto­cratic leader, Alexander Lukashenka. Such...

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