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Analysis Kerstin Müller 12. June 2025

Gaza: Enabling independent human­i­tarian aid quickly, reforming UNRWA

What is needed to quickly and indepen­dently provide supplies for the people in Gaza? And what should become of UNRWA? Kerstin Müller, Senior Fellow at the Center for Liberal Modernity, on the current situation in Gaza and the debates of the “Middle East Network — Ways out of War, Terror and Occupation” coordi­nated by LibMod.

Analysis Yuliya Ziskina 26. March 2025

Risks of inaction: Why seizing Russian frozen assets is urgent

The EU risks losing Russia’s frozen assets as sanctions near expiration. Legal experts confirm trans­ferring these funds to Ukraine is lawful and would enforce Russia’s repara­tions oblig­ation. Seizing the assets could bolster inter­na­tional law and strengthen Ukraine finan­cially and military. Yulia Ziskina asks if the EU will act before it is too late.

Analysis Johannes Regenbrecht 27. February 2025

In the shadow of Carl Schmitt: Putin and Trump’s ideas on the division of Europe

Over the heads of the Europeans, Trump and Putin are currently trying to divide up not only Ukraine, but also the dominance of “Greater Europe” between them. It is high time for the EU to enter the negoti­a­tions force­fully and with a clear concept. Germany must play a prominent role alongside France and Poland as soon as possible, including militarily, demands former German diplomat Johannes Regen­brecht. He analyzes the tradi­tions of thought that guide Trump and Putin and which need to be under­stood in order to decisively oppose their plans. 

Analysis Natalia Stercul 10. January 2025

Moldova’s Path to the EU after the Refer­endum and the Presi­dential Elections

The EU accession country Moldova continues to face major security and economic challenges. Our expert, Natalia Stercul, APE, analyses the obstacles on Moldova’s path to Europe, as well as the political situation after the refer­endum and the presi­dential elections. She also warns of Russia’s increasing influence in the upcoming parlia­mentary elections in 2025, as the result of the parlia­mentary elections would have a signif­icant impact on the country’s EU integration.

Analysis Alan Posener 13. September 2024

Post-election analysis: This is not 1933

Following the achieve­ments of the AfD — and the equally xenophobic and Russia-friendly BSW — in the state elections in Saxony and Thuringia, commen­tators are outdoing themselves in alarmism. Writing on the day after the election, Alan Posener takes a critical look at these developments.

Analysis Julia Kazdobina, Jakob Hedenskog & Andreas Umland 07. May 2024

Why the Donbas War Was Never “Civil”

In April 2014, Russia began a covert armed invasion of the Ukrainian Donets Basin. However, many politi­cians, journalists and even some academics still follow the Russian propa­ganda narrative of an alleged “civil war” in eastern Ukraine at the time. An analysis by Julia Kazdobina, Jakob Hedenskog and Andreas Umland.

Analysis Maria Shagina 06. May 2024

How to Make Energy Sanctions against Russia More Effective

As Russia‘s full-scale invasion of Ukraine enters its third year, the question about the efficacy of sanctions is more pressing than ever: Have they been effective and what more can be done? Maria Shagina argues that it is best to focus on the Russian energy sector.

Analysis Khatia Kikalishvili 06. April 2024

Impact of Russian Disin­for­mation in Germany

Since the start of the Russian war in Ukraine, Russian propa­ganda in the West and in Germany has taken on a different dimension. It is aimed at under­mining Western democracy, stirring up fear and weakening support for Ukraine. An article by Khatia Kikalishvili for GEOpolitics.

Analysis Maria Domanska 20. September 2023

Putin’s Wunder­waffe: The Bugbear of Russia’s Collapse

Russia is unlikely to disin­te­grate soon, but its current leadership can no longer guarantee stability. The war against Ukraine and the Wagner mutiny have shown that Putin’s regime is both...

Analysis Maria Sannikova-Franck 30. June 2023

Regime Change in Russia must not be a Taboo for the West

The failed Wagner rebellion has drasti­cally revealed the weakness of the Putin regime. Supporting Ukraine is now the West’s most effective lever to promote political change in Russia, argue Maria...

Analysis Natalia Stercul 09. May 2023

Security and Synergies — The Impor­tance of the Black Sea Region and Russia’s War on Ukraine

The geostrategic potential of the Black Sea region has often been overlooked. Natalia Stercul analyses why this is changing in the face of the war, what economic perspec­tives are open to the EU and what part the Republic of Moldova plays in this.

Analysis Sergiy Petukhov 20. March 2023

Western Energy Sanctions against Russia: The Next Steps

The West must consis­tently punish sanction viola­tions, lower the price ceiling for Russian oil and make itself independent of the Russian nuclear industry — Sergiy Petukhov on the effect and future of sanctions against Russia.

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 19. December 2022

“Freezing the War Would Be Ideal for Lukashenka”

Lukaschenka präsen­tiert sich seinem Volk als Garant des Friedens, sein Regime scheint gefestigt – solange Russland den Krieg in der Ukraine nicht verliert. 

Analysis Nikolaus von Twickel 17. November 2022

“Rethinking Russia”: Containment, Deter­rence, Regime Change?

Russia’s war against Ukraine has upended not just relations with the West but is testing the inter­na­tional system as a whole. The urgent need for new thinking has prompted the Center of Liberal Modernity to set up its Expert Network Russia, which met in Vilnius under the headline “Rethinking Russia” for the first time on 31 October.

Analysis Mykola Vorobiov 16. September 2022

Military analysis: A protracted war

Half a year after the start of the large-scale Russian invasion, the West should continue to support Ukraine with further arms deliveries.

Analysis Richard C. Schneider 29. July 2022

“New World Order” – Closing Ranks in Isolation

The Tehran-Moscow axis seems threat­ening, but it was born out of necessity and does not change much for Israel and the Middle East. However, the Russia-Israel relationship has already deteriorated...

Analysis Christina zur Nedden 22. July 2022

How Putin is exploiting the crisis in Sri Lanka

In Sri Lanka, demon­strators have taken over the presi­dential palace, partly because the prices of wheat and petrol have risen immea­surably as a result of the war in Ukraine. Russia is...

Analysis Tanja A. Börzel & Thomas Risse 13. June 2022

Why Ukraine must get EU candidate status now – Lessons from Enlargement Research

EU research has shown that a credible membership perspective is an effective means of anchoring liberal democracy from the outside. That is why Ukraine must now be granted candidate status.

Analysis Anna Frenyo 12. April 2022

Hungary’s Relations with Russia, the EU and NATO: What to Expect After the Re-election of Viktor Orbán

Just a day after the first videos of the Bucha massacre were posted to social media, on 3 April 2022, Hungary’s FIDESZ-Christian Democ­ratic alliance won its fourth consec­utive landslide victory with 54,10%,...

Analysis John Lough 22. March 2022

Russia must be defeated in Ukraine

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is reaching a perilous stage. The West needs to step up efforts to make Putin’s war unwinnable. Conces­sions will only prolong his regime and increase Moscow’s appetite...

Analysis ​ 21. March 2022

European values at the core of unprece­dented Moldovan human­i­tarian efforts amidst the tragic war in Ukraine

Moldova, a country in the heart of Europe, its current leadership and first and foremost its people, opened not only its borders but also their homes for the suffering neigh­bours. The...

Analysis Gustav C. Gressel 18. March 2022

Current assessment of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine – What Germany Can and Must Do Now

Military expert Gustav C. Gressel on the war in Ukraine: The outcome will depend in part on whether the West supplies Ukraine with the weapons it needs. It is also...

Analysis Vladislav Inozemtsev 14. March 2022

Why Putin got so Delusional

By waging a war against Ukraine, Putin has badly miscal­cu­lated. The Russian leader has become victim of his own propa­gan­distic visions and failed to antic­ipate the Western respo­nse, writes Vladislav Inozemtsev.

Analysis Albrecht Sonntag 07. March 2022

France 2022: And then there was war

French election campaigns are usually desper­ately navel-gazing. Foreign policy issues are all but absent from the debate. And even in ‘ordinary’ times, all mainstream evening news programmes consider inter­na­tional news...

Analysis ​ 24. January 2022

Russia puts transat­lantic unity and security in Europe to the test

After failing to agree on exclusive spheres of influence in Europe with the Trump admin­is­tration, the Kremlin is challenging Washing­ton’s ability to keep unity among Euro-Atlantic allies and protect European...

Analysis Ralf Fücks 21. December 2021

Dialogue yes, appeasement no

How should the West counter Russian threats of war? We document Ralf Fücks’ OP ED at DIE WELT, 21.12.2021.

Analysis Iryna Solonenko (†) 15. December 2021

Eastern Partnership and Ukraine: the marriage of convenience

This Wednesday, the Eastern Partnership Summit will take place for the first time in four years. On this occasion, Iryna Solonenko, Senior Fellow at the Center for Liberal Modernity, sheds...

Analysis ​ 02. December 2021

The Occupation of Crimea – a Challenge for the Global Order

As 2021 draws to a close, we look back on this year’s important events. Among them is the Crimea Platform, which was launched in August at Ukraine’s initiative to shore up...

Analysis Khatia Kikalishvili 17. November 2021

Whither Georgia?

The political crisis in Georgia continues after the municipal runoff elections. The close election result exacer­bates the polar­ization between the supporters of the ruling Georgian Dream party and the opposition...

Analysis Andreas Umland 27. September 2021

Merkel’s Ambivalent Legacy in Post-Soviet Eastern Europe

When Angela Merkel took office as German Chancellor in 2005, she was better prepared for the challenges on the EU’s eastern border than any other West European head of government....

Analysis Volodymyr Dubovyk 09. September 2021

Zelenskyy’s US visit reaffirms partnership. But much work lies ahead.

The reactions in Ukraine to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy recent visit to the United States vary widely and are often politi­cized. They range from state­ments that the visit lifted relations to...

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 09. August 2021

One year after the protests began — what’s Russia’s plan for Belarus?

A year ago protests began against electoral fraud in Belarus. Dictator Lukashenko responded with a wave of harsh state violence, which led to the country being further isolated and sanctioned internationally....

Analysis Ralf Fücks 22. July 2021

NS2-Deal: Toad with Sugar Coating

The impact of the Biden-Merkel-Agreement on Nord Stream 2 in Ukraine is simply disas­trous. Especially among western oriented, reform-minded people trust in Germany and the US fell at a record low. China...

Analysis Dmytro Shulga 13. July 2021

Why a European perspective for Ukraine corre­sponds to German interests

In this analyses Dmytro Shulga argues for the EU and specif­i­cally Germany to consider it’s own strategic gains in offering Ukraine a way to full EU membership over an extended amount...

Analysis Volodymyr Dubovyk 26. May 2021

US-Ukraine relations under Joe Biden: security and domestic reforms as mutually reinforcing pillars

The recent visit of the US Secretary of State Antony Blinken to Kyiv has generated some interest in Ukraine and beyond. This face-to-face meeting was a good oppor­tunity for the United...

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 14. May 2021

Belarus: Revolution Suppressed or Postponed?

The protests in Belarus in 2020 did not lead to a change in gov­ern­ment. But Lukashenko’s chosen way of brutal suppres­sion will not gain him any popular support — and is...

Analysis ​ 13. April 2021

Two wrongs won’t make a right: fixing Ukraine’s consti­tu­tional court

In late March 2021 Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky revoked a decree made by runaway president Viktor Yanukovych appointing Oleksandr Tupytsky and Oleksandr Kasminin to the Consti­tu­tional Court. This raised eyebrows in...

Foto: Shutterstock, Kacper Kawecki

Analysis Richard Giragosian 09. March 2021

Armenia’s post-war Political Crisis

Armenia’s Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is facing protests and requests to resign after Armenia lost the war with Azerbaijan for Nagorno Karabakh. Richard Giragosian, Director of the independent Think­tanks Regional...

Foto: Shutterstock, qwret

Analysis Aksana Lutskaya 06. February 2021

The Birth of a new civil society in Belarus vs. a “European North Korea”

While violence thrives in silence, it has no chance to persist if brought to public attention. Inter­na­tional attention and support to the people in Belarus are now more crucial than...

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 15. December 2020

Can the EU resolve Belarus conundrum?

A four-month stand-off between Belarusian strongman Alexander Lukashenko and the pro-democ­ratic protesters posed a serious challenge for the EU. The block that had announced its ambition to become a geopo­litical actor, has...

Analysis Ralf Fücks, Marieluise Beck 08. September 2020

Russia and the Germans – a compli­cated affair

In Germany, a majority favour closer ties with Russia despite new autho­ri­anism under Putin, military aggression against Ukraine and bombing in Syria. Where does the desire for a special relationship with Russia...

Analysis Volodymyr Yermolenko 25. August 2020

Why Russian soft power is a threat for both Ukraine and Europe

As part of our project “Eastern Part­ner­ship 2.0” we publish a series of arti­cles about the three EU asso­ci­a­ted states. The authors from the region (Mikheil Benidze, Volodymyr Yermolenko, Victor Gotisan)...

Analysis Mikheil Benidze 24. August 2020

Russian Propa­ganda Lever­aging Social Media and Coron­avirus in Georgia Ahead of Elections

As part of our project “Eastern Part­ner­ship 2.0” we publish a series of arti­cles about the three EU asso­ci­a­tion states. The authors from the region (Mikheil Benidze, Volodymyr Yermolenko, Victor Gotisan)...

Analysis Victor Gotișan 

Russian soft power in Moldova: fake news, media propa­ganda and infor­mation warfare

As part of our project “Eastern Part­ner­ship 2.0” we publish a series of arti­cles about the three EU asso­ci­a­tion states. The authors from the region (Mikheil Benidze, Volodymyr Yermolenko, Victor Gotisan)...

Analysis Ralf Fücks 13. July 2020

Soviet Nostalgia and Great Power Aspirations

Ahead to the Past – The World in the Mind of Putin Эту статью можно читать и на русском

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 30. June 2020

Whom the West should support in Belarus? A time for a strategic approach

Tradi­tional opposition parties and movements has long seized to be a polit­i­cally meaningful force in Belarus. It is time for Western decision-makers to finally admit this unpleasant reality and shift its...

Analysis Veronika Movchan 16. June 2020

Covid-19 crisis in Ukraine

As part of our project “Eastern Partnership 2.0” we publish a series of articles about the three EU associ­ation states (Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova). Three authors from the region (Veronika Movchan, Irina...

Analysis Sergiu Gaibu 

The health, political, economic and social impact of COVID-19 on Moldova

As part of our project “Eastern Partnership 2.0” we publish a series of articles about the three EU associ­ation states (Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova). Three authors from the region (Veronika Movchan, Irina...

Analysis Irina Guruli 15. June 2020

COVID-19 in Georgia Impact and Implications

As part of our project “Eastern Partnership 2.0” we publish a series of articles about the three EU associ­ation states (Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova). Three authors from the region (Veronika Movchan, Irina...

‌Didi Kirsten Tatlow 22. November 2018

Cultural Relativism and Power Blindness: Some critical obser­va­tions on the state of Germany’s China debate

For decades, Sinol­o­gists who were largely blind to China’s expansive power politics have dominated Germany’s political advice circles, culti­vating an image of China that our author calls “Late Orien­talism”. Shaped...

Analysis Ralf Fücks 15. October 2018

Notes From Berlin — A Political Earth­quake in Bavaria

A summary of the elections in Bavaria, one of the major German states with more then 9 million voters.

Analysis Sandra Detzer und Sebastian Schaffer 24. August 2018

The Comeback of the Swedish Center Party – an Eco-Liberal Story of Hope for Europe?

Sandra Detzer und Sebastian Schaffer of the German Greens travel to Sweden where the right-wing-populist “Sweden Democrats” could win the election in September. But where danger is, rescue also grows:...

‌Antonella Forganni 28. February 2018

Elections in Italy: Sliding Slowly, Eyes Wide Open, into Durable Decline

During the election campaign, appealing to people’s anger and demonizing the opponents is the most common strategy. Political programs hardly matter. The political landscape is highly fragmented. In election polls,...

Analysis Karen Horn 31. January 2018

Freedom in Modern Times

Karen Horn reminds us of forgotten, pioneering thinkers on liberty and highlights the necessary contra­diction within which a modern liber­alism exists: the tension between limiting state influence and recog­nizing that influence...

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