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Policy Paper Nico Lange 21. June 2024

How German Hesitancy Prolongs the War against Ukraine

Despite Chancellor Scholz’ Zeiten­wende, Germany’s actions since the Russian invasion of Ukraine have been dominated by hesitancy. The government often acts only when the situation on the battle­field is dramatic – or waits for decisions from Washington. Berlin seemingly hopes for an eventual ceasefire. But this only raises the threat of an “eternal provi­sional arrangement”, similar to the Cold War-era division of Germany, writes Nico Lange.

Event Maria Sannikova-Franck 19. June 2024

Conference Report: Russia is Gearing up for a Long War. Are we Ready?

While Russia is preparing for a long war, the West remains hesitant and divided. At this year’s conference Russia and the West, partic­i­pants urgently called for a new European policy versus Moscow....

Dossier Patrick Heinemann 09. May 2024

Seizing Russian Assets: Too Little, But Not Too Late

Ukraine and some of her allies have been campaigning to use the frozen 200 billion dollars of Russian Central Bank money held at Euroclear in Belgium for aid to Kyiv,...

Dossier Felix Hosse 08. May 2024

An App against Authoritarianism

Despite the war of annihi­lation against Ukraine, many Western companies are holding out in Russia. Some do not feel affected because their products (food and medicines) are not covered by...

Analysis Julia Kazdobina, Jakob Hedenskog & Andreas Umland 07. May 2024

Why the Donbas War Was Never “Civil”

In April 2014, Russia began a covert armed invasion of the Ukrainian Donets Basin. However, many politi­cians, journalists and even some academics still follow the Russian propa­ganda narrative of an alleged “civil war” in eastern Ukraine at the time. An analysis by Julia Kazdobina, Jakob Hedenskog and Andreas Umland.

Analysis Maria Shagina 06. May 2024

How to Make Energy Sanctions against Russia More Effective

As Russia‘s full-scale invasion of Ukraine enters its third year, the question about the efficacy of sanctions is more pressing than ever: Have they been effective and what more can be done? Maria Shagina argues that it is best to focus on the Russian energy sector.

Dossier Nikolaus von Twickel 28. April 2024

“Our Strategic Goal is to Weaken or Change the Kremlin Regime”

Former Lithuanian Prime Minister Andrius Kubilius has been a member of the European Parliament since 2019. As the parliament’s rapporteur on relations with Russia, he is a point man for promoting and...

Policy Paper Dimitri Minic 18. April 2024

Emmanuel Macron’s Russian policy: stages and roots of a new approach

France’s position towards Russia has been ambivalent for decades, based in part on myths, projec­tions and unreal­istic ambitions. Emmanuel Macron’s policies vis-à-vis Moscow seem to embody this. At the beginning...

Analysis Khatia Kikalishvili 06. April 2024

Impact of Russian Disin­for­mation in Germany

Since the start of the Russian war in Ukraine, Russian propa­ganda in the West and in Germany has taken on a different dimension. It is aimed at under­mining Western democracy, stirring up fear and weakening support for Ukraine. An article by Khatia Kikalishvili for GEOpolitics.

‌Ralf Fücks 19. March 2024

Chancellor Scholz Must Change Course and Support Ukraine to Win

Chancellor Olaf Scholz is putting Germans and all Europeans in danger. His current policy seriously risks defeat in Ukraine, which would embolden Moscow and raise the likelihood of a wider war with Russia in which the missiles could be falling on Cologne rather than Kyiv – An Open Letter to Germany’s Leaders from Inter­na­tional and German Experts.

Event ​ 09. January 2024

Can Poland and Germany Align their Russia Policies?

For many years, Poland and Germany pursued different policies regarding Russia and Ukraine. While Warsaw advocated harsher sanctions against Moscow and more support for Kyiv, Berlin was tradi­tionally more reluctant. Despite Zeiten­wende, differ­ences linger. Can the two countries synchronize their approach?

Event Nikolaus von Twickel 21. December 2023

Cracks under the surface: How resilient is Russia?

With its overar­ching theme “How fragile is the Putin system?” the recent meeting of LibMod’s Expert Network Russia at the Eastern Studies Centre in Warsaw sent a clear message: A fragile Russia...

Essay Ralf Fücks 18. December 2023

The Long History of Russian Imperialism

Vladimir Putin’s brutal attack on Ukraine has changed Germany’s perspective of Russia by highlighting the country’s imperi­alism and Ukraine’s central role as the empire’s crown jewel.

Interview ​ 10. November 2023

Iran-Russia-Hamas: A New Axis of Terror?

A conver­sation between Kerstin Müller, former Minister of State at the Federal Foreign Office, and Iran specialist Kasra Aarabi about 7 October, Iran as a sponsor of terrorist organi­za­tions in the Middle East, cooper­ation with Russia and the special role of the Iranian Revolu­tionary Guards. The EU should classify them as a terrorist organization.

Policy Paper Wojciech Konończuk 08. November 2023

View from Poland: Ukraine’s Victory is Indis­pensable for European Security

Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine and its attempt to destroy Europe’s post-Cold War security order have triggered a series of crises that constitute the conti­nent’s most severe upheavals in more...

Policy Paper Daniel Fried 27. September 2023

Success for Ukraine and the Free World: What it means and how to get there

Ukraine is fighting for its national survival and for its future as part of a united Europe, the transat­lantic alliance and the Free World. Europe and the United States must help...

Analysis Maria Domanska 20. September 2023

Putin’s Wunder­waffe: The Bugbear of Russia’s Collapse

Russia is unlikely to disin­te­grate soon, but its current leadership can no longer guarantee stability. The war against Ukraine and the Wagner mutiny have shown that Putin’s regime is both...

Comment Vladimir Milov 31. August 2023

Is Russia’s Disin­te­gration a Realistic Prospect?

In the light of Vladimir Putin’s military failures in Ukraine and discus­sions about Russia’s possible future after Putin, there has been much discussion recently about Russia “disin­te­grating” or “falling apart”...

Analysis Maria Sannikova-Franck 30. June 2023

Regime Change in Russia must not be a Taboo for the West

The failed Wagner rebellion has drasti­cally revealed the weakness of the Putin regime. Supporting Ukraine is now the West’s most effective lever to promote political change in Russia, argue Maria...

Comment Ralf Fücks 07. June 2023

Four Takeaways From the Conference “Russia after Putin”

Another Russia is possible: On 5/​6 June, repre­sen­ta­tives of the Russian opposition and the EU discussed the perspec­tives of a post-imperial and democ­ratic Russia. LibMod Director Ralf Fücks summa­rizes the four key takeaways.

Event Ralf Fücks, Nikolaus von Twickel 04. May 2023

“The Best Russia Policy Is to Support a Ukrainian Victory”

More than 120 experts from a dozen countries attended the fifth edition of our conference “Russia and the West” on 20 April in Berlin. The partic­i­pants, including prominent Russian opposition figures in exile, discussed future policy towards Moscow and post-Putin scenarios.

Analysis Sergiy Petukhov 20. March 2023

Western Energy Sanctions against Russia: The Next Steps

The West must consis­tently punish sanction viola­tions, lower the price ceiling for Russian oil and make itself independent of the Russian nuclear industry — Sergiy Petukhov on the effect and future of sanctions against Russia.

‌Maria Sannikova-Franck 17. February 2023

Discussing Russia’s Future

During an online discussion, Polish expert Maria Domanska and Russian opposition leader Vladimir Milov presented their policy papers about future scenarios for Russia. Here is what they had to say.

‌​ 16. February 2023

Russia After Putin – Scenarios of Change

What future for Russia should we strive for? Our authors Vladimir Milov and Maria Domanska strongly argue that the West must not fear a collapse of the regime. Positive change in...

Policy Paper ​ 

Russia Policies and Zeiten­wende: The Change We Need

Russia Policies and Zeiten­wende: The Change We Need

Policy Paper Maria Domanska 26. January 2023

Reinventing Russia: How the West Should Prepare for the Post-Putin Period

The war in Ukraine is putting the future of Russia more and more in our hands. A decisive victory of Ukraine makes an end to the Putin regime more likely. The West needs to prepare for this moment because it may offer a short oppor­tunity to encourage the country to embark on a more democ­ratic and law-abinding path, writes Maria Domanska.

Policy Paper Vladimir Milov 10. January 2023

Future Scenarios for Russia:
An Optimistic, but Realistic Outlook

Putin has turned Russia into a dicta­torship, but the country is by no means destined to be a dark imperi­al­istic power. The Free World needs to support Russia’s next attempt for democ­ratic change instead of snubbing it, writes Vladimir Milov.

Policy Paper Yana Zabanova 14. December 2022

A Highly Uncertain Future

Russia’s shocking invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 has changed the geopo­litical realities in Europe, spelling the end to Russia’s position as Europe’s most important energy supplier. As a result, today Russia has the dubious distinction of being the most sanctioned nation in the world’s history.

Event Ralf Fücks 12. December 2022

“As Long as Putin Is in Power, There Is No Security With Russia, Only Against It”

During an Inspiring Round­table last week, we discussed the West’s future Russia policy on the basis of four key countries’ approach — Poland, France, Germany and the US. Some short takeaways:

Policy Paper Marie Mendras 01. December 2022

France’s Autocri­tique of Its “Russia First, Ukraine Second” Policy

French policy towards Russia was based on self-serving delusions that led to dangerous failures and exacer­bated Putin’s paranoia. The West needs to overhaul its policies and build a strong security system in Europe and beyond.

Event ​ 22. November 2022

Russia at war against Ukraine and its own Future

What is the economic and ecological future of Russia and what are the climate policy conse­quences of the Russian invasion of Ukraine? We invite you to a public discussion on 15 December 2022 with German and Russian economic, energy and climate experts.

Press Release ​ 20. November 2022

The Moment Is Now!
Helping Ukraine Through This Winter of War.

Appeal by more than 70 writers, histo­rians, security experts and scholars on Eastern Europe

Analysis Nikolaus von Twickel 17. November 2022

“Rethinking Russia”: Containment, Deter­rence, Regime Change?

Russia’s war against Ukraine has upended not just relations with the West but is testing the inter­na­tional system as a whole. The urgent need for new thinking has prompted the Center of Liberal Modernity to set up its Expert Network Russia, which met in Vilnius under the headline “Rethinking Russia” for the first time on 31 October.

Event   08. November 2022

Photos of the Conference “Rethinking Russia”

“Rethinking Russia”: On 31 October, we opened our new project “Expert Network Russia” with a conference in Vilnius. Here is a selection of photographs from the event.

Event Ralf Fücks 07. November 2022

“Getting Clear About Russia Is the Key for a Realistic Russia Policy”

The Center for Liberal Moder­nity’s Expert Network Russia kicked off last week with a one-day meeting in Vilnius. In his opening remarks, Ralf Fücks reminded everyone why we need to Rethink Russia.

Event ​ 06. November 2022

“Inter­na­tional Law against Genocide” — Review and contri­bu­tions of the conference

Do Russian war crimes constitute genocide? What oblig­a­tions does this impose on the inter­na­tional community? Experts from politics, academia and civil society discussed these questions at the inter­na­tional conference “Inter­na­tional Law against Genocide”.

Policy Paper Janusz Reiter 25. October 2022

Poland’s Trian­gular Russia Policy

Poland’s complex relationship with Russia is deeply inter­twined with Germany and Ukraine, Janusz Reiter writes.

Policy Paper Ulrich Speck 24. October 2022

Zeiten­wende: Towards a New German and European Russia Policy

Germany’s decades-long policy of political partnership with Russia is in tatters — instead of a friendly democ­ratic country it got an aggressive dicta­torship. To avoid future failures, we need strength and resilience, writes Ulrich Speck.

Comment Ralf Fücks 19. October 2022

Whither Russia? A defeat in Ukraine is a chance for renewal

It is time to think about a Russia after Putin. If defeated in Ukraine, condi­tions in the country will also change. Whether for the better or the worse is an open question. Without a departure from the imperial delusion, Russia will remain in the eternal vicious circle of war politics and author­i­tarian rule.

Policy Paper Daniel Fried 10. October 2022

Don’t Bet Against the West!

The US tried to integrate Russia with the liberal inter­na­tional order, but Putin destroyed the basis for cooper­ation by disman­teling democracy and seeking domination of his neighbors, writes Dan Fried.

Analysis Mykola Vorobiov 16. September 2022

Military analysis: A protracted war

Half a year after the start of the large-scale Russian invasion, the West should continue to support Ukraine with further arms deliveries.

Essay Armin Huttenlocher 31. August 2022

Putin’s war is also Kirill’s crusade

Under Orbán’s pressure, the EU-Commission has removed the Russian Patriarch Kirill from the sanctions list – a fatal under­es­ti­mation of the powerful role of the Russian-Orthodox Church in the war against Ukraine.

‌Lukas Daubner & Aysel Aliyeva 05. August 2022

Russia’s post-War Fossil Fuel Future

The war in Ukraine will throw Russia into an economic crisis, which it will try to combat through fossil fuels reversing the started green transition

From the Media Marieluise Beck 03. August 2022

“We could have seen that we had to do with an aggressive imperial power”

Marieluise Beck is asked if she changed her mind about German foreign policy after recent arms deliv­eries. She also speaks about mistakes made by previous govern­ments and former Chancellor Schröders...

Analysis Richard C. Schneider 29. July 2022

“New World Order” – Closing Ranks in Isolation

The Tehran-Moscow axis seems threat­ening, but it was born out of necessity and does not change much for Israel and the Middle East. However, the Russia-Israel relationship has already deteriorated...

Analysis Christina zur Nedden 22. July 2022

How Putin is exploiting the crisis in Sri Lanka

In Sri Lanka, demon­strators have taken over the presi­dential palace, partly because the prices of wheat and petrol have risen immea­surably as a result of the war in Ukraine. Russia is...

Interview Till Schmidt 21. July 2022

China is Learning in Israel how to do Business in Europe

In Israel, Chinese invest­ments are increas­ingly viewed criti­cally, partly because of China’s relations with Iran. On the other hand, China offers enormous economic oppor­tu­nities, according to Galia Lavi of the...

Comment Ralf Fücks 18. July 2022

Irrita­tions about Germany

Chancellor Scholz supports Ukraine only so much that it can defend itself with diffi­culty, but cannot launch a counter­attack. But if Putin is not defeated in Ukraine, there will be no...

Policy Paper Vladislav Inozemtsev 28. June 2022

NEW SANCTIONS AGAINST RUSSIA — Framework, effects, possiblities

Oil and gas revenues continue to fill the Russian war chest. In order to damage the Russian economy severely, a drop in the supply of products for the IT sector would...

Event ​ 16. May 2022

Is there any Future for the Russian Economy after the War?

On 31 May, we discussed the future of the Russian economy after the war in Ukraine with Dr Vladislav Inozemtsev, Angelina Davydova, Dr Janis Kluge and Michael Harms.

Event Nikolaus von Twickel 04. April 2022

Turning point: Why we need to overcome our peace mentality

Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine is a turning point for Europe and the whole world. What are its policy impli­ca­tions? Are the sanctions imposed so far suffi­cient to contain the...

Comment Marieluise Beck 29. March 2022

Ukraine and us: Never again war?

So far, the people of Ukraine have borne the burden of the war all alone. For the German precept of “never again”, this is a reality shock, comments Marieluise Beck.

Debate ​ 25. March 2022

Appeal: European import ban on Russian oil and gas!

More than 80 scholars, politi­cians, business­people and civil society repre­sen­ta­tives have signed an appeal to the German government to stop oil and gas imports from Russia. Remarkably, the coalition of...

Analysis John Lough 22. March 2022

Russia must be defeated in Ukraine

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is reaching a perilous stage. The West needs to step up efforts to make Putin’s war unwinnable. Conces­sions will only prolong his regime and increase Moscow’s appetite...

Analysis Gustav C. Gressel 18. March 2022

Current assessment of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine – What Germany Can and Must Do Now

Military expert Gustav C. Gressel on the war in Ukraine: The outcome will depend in part on whether the West supplies Ukraine with the weapons it needs. It is also...

Comment ​ 16. March 2022

Law professor Luchter­handt in Tagesspiegel: “Russia commits genocide in Mariupol”

Based on six criteria of the United Nations Convention against Genocide, Russia is committing genocide in Mariupol, says Inter­na­tional law expert Otto Luchterhandt.

Analysis Vladislav Inozemtsev 14. March 2022

Why Putin got so Delusional

By waging a war against Ukraine, Putin has badly miscal­cu­lated. The Russian leader has become victim of his own propa­gan­distic visions and failed to antic­ipate the Western respo­nse, writes Vladislav Inozemtsev.

Event ​ 10. March 2022

Join our discussion “Russia and the West”

How should we deal with a repressive and confronta­tional Russia? Join our annual discussion “Russia and the West” on 24 March, which will be held jointly with the Munich Security Conference...

‌Ralf Fücks 09. March 2022

What is Europe’s freedom worth to us?

We must stop funding Putin’s war with our energy imports

Comment ​ 04. March 2022

World, it’s time to act in self-defence against Russian aggression. Radiation knows no borders

Political scientist Oleksandra Keudel warns of European and global conse­quences in the case of Russian attacks on Ukrainian nuclear power plants.

Press Release Ralf Fücks, Marieluise Beck 25. January 2022

An urgent appeal from Ukraine: the country now needs Germany’s full solidarity

Two prominent members of the Ukrainian parliament appeal to their colleagues in the German Bundestag to stand by Ukraine in the face of Russian threats of war.

Analysis ​ 24. January 2022

Russia puts transat­lantic unity and security in Europe to the test

After failing to agree on exclusive spheres of influence in Europe with the Trump admin­is­tration, the Kremlin is challenging Washing­ton’s ability to keep unity among Euro-Atlantic allies and protect European...

Analysis ​ 02. December 2021

The Occupation of Crimea – a Challenge for the Global Order

As 2021 draws to a close, we look back on this year’s important events. Among them is the Crimea Platform, which was launched in August at Ukraine’s initiative to shore up...

Analysis Andreas Umland 27. September 2021

Merkel’s Ambivalent Legacy in Post-Soviet Eastern Europe

When Angela Merkel took office as German Chancellor in 2005, she was better prepared for the challenges on the EU’s eastern border than any other West European head of government....

Analysis Artyom Shraibman 09. August 2021

One year after the protests began — what’s Russia’s plan for Belarus?

A year ago protests began against electoral fraud in Belarus. Dictator Lukashenko responded with a wave of harsh state violence, which led to the country being further isolated and sanctioned internationally....

Comment ​ 14. July 2021

Russia, Ukraine and the EU: A Comment on Putin’s history doctrine

A commentary by Ralf Fücks on Putin’s latest historical policy manifesto, published by the Kremlin.

Foto: Sergei Mal­gavko / TASS /​ Imago Images

Debate ​ 29. June 2021

Putin’s Poisoned Chalice*

An answer to Wladimir Putin’s fine tuned op-ed in the German weekly Die Zeit by Ralf Fücks, Center for Liberal Modernity.

Analysis ​ 13. April 2021

Two wrongs won’t make a right: fixing Ukraine’s consti­tu­tional court

In late March 2021 Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky revoked a decree made by runaway president Viktor Yanukovych appointing Oleksandr Tupytsky and Oleksandr Kasminin to the Consti­tu­tional Court. This raised eyebrows in...

Foto: Sergei Mal­gavko / TASS /​ Imago Images

Essay Maria Zolkina 08. April 2021

Russian escalation in Ukraine and what it means for Ukrainian-Russian relations

Since January 2021 there has been growing military escalation in conflict-affected areas of Donbas. Russia has built up military equipment deployment along the Russian-Ukrainian border, reposi­tioned its army and strengthened...

© Sergei Bobylev / Imago Images

Comment Oleksandra Matviichuk 19. February 2021

2021 winter protests in Russia: the view of a Ukrainian human rights activist

Only temporarily, says Michael Zürn, Director at the Berlin Social Science Center. 

Analysis Ralf Fücks, Marieluise Beck 08. September 2020

Russia and the Germans – a compli­cated affair

In Germany, a majority favour closer ties with Russia despite new autho­ri­anism under Putin, military aggression against Ukraine and bombing in Syria. Where does the desire for a special relationship with Russia...

‌​ 

Russia and the West – Rappro­che­ment or New Sys­temic Conflict?

Panel and online dis­cus­sion with Marie­luise Beck, Vla­di­mir Kara-Murza und Michael McFaul on 9 Sep­tem­ber 2020, 7 pm CET

Analysis Volodymyr Yermolenko 25. August 2020

Why Russian soft power is a threat for both Ukraine and Europe

As part of our project “Eastern Part­ner­ship 2.0” we publish a series of arti­cles about the three EU asso­ci­a­ted states. The authors from the region (Mikheil Benidze, Volodymyr Yermolenko, Victor Gotisan)...

Analysis Mikheil Benidze 24. August 2020

Russian Propa­ganda Lever­aging Social Media and Coron­avirus in Georgia Ahead of Elections

As part of our project “Eastern Part­ner­ship 2.0” we publish a series of arti­cles about the three EU asso­ci­a­tion states. The authors from the region (Mikheil Benidze, Volodymyr Yermolenko, Victor Gotisan)...

Analysis Victor Gotișan 

Russian soft power in Moldova: fake news, media propa­ganda and infor­mation warfare

As part of our project “Eastern Part­ner­ship 2.0” we publish a series of arti­cles about the three EU asso­ci­a­tion states. The authors from the region (Mikheil Benidze, Volodymyr Yermolenko, Victor Gotisan)...

Analysis Ralf Fücks 13. July 2020

Soviet Nostalgia and Great Power Aspirations

Ahead to the Past – The World in the Mind of Putin Эту статью можно читать и на русском

Policy Paper John Lough 31. October 2019

Belarus: Danger ahead – EU response needed

Many EU capitals regard Belarus as an extension of Russia and take little interest in it. EU leaders are also uncom­fortable dealing with its long-time autocratic leader, Alexander Lukashenka. Such...

Press Release ​ 12. June 2019

Open Letter to PACE concerning Russia

An Open Letter to the Parlia­mentary Assembly of the Council of Europe: Please don’t deprive yourself of the right to impose sanctions on member states that are violating the statutes...

Essay Armin Huttenlocher 27. January 2019

Every Attack on a Jew is an Attack on the Liberal World

On this date 74 years ago, the Red Army liberated the Auschwitz-Birkenau exter­mi­nation camp. The 27th of January became the Day of Remem­brance for the Victims of National Socialism. Much has...

Debate Ralf Fücks, Nikolaus von Twickel 24. January 2019

Russia and the West – Do We Need a New Ostpolitik?

On January 17 the Centre for Liberal Modernity held its second inter­na­tional Russia conference. This year’s topic was if Germany’s policy of detente of the 1970s can offer any guidance...

Book Review Wolfgang Eichwede 18. January 2019

Dangerous advisors

The book discussed below (Why we need peace and freedom with Russia) explicitly presents itself as an appeal for a change in Germany’s policy towards Russia. It brings together authors from...

Debate Edward Lucas 17. May 2018

Stop Russia now, or lose to China later

What will be at stake when Moscow and Beijing begin to share their lessons?

Factsheet Ralf Fücks, Christoph Becker 07. May 2018

Factcheck: Encir­clement of Russia?

Are Russia’s inter­ven­tions in Georgia, Ukraine and Syria merely a reaction against the expansion of NATO? Facts and arguments concerning a propa­ganda myth.

Event Nikolaus von Twickel 19. March 2018

The Putin System and the Kremlin’s Influence in Europe

On March 13 the Center Liberal Modernity held its first inter­na­tional conference on Russia. The event’s main intention was gaining a deeper under­standing of the Putin System and to find out...

‌Ralf Fücks, Marieluise Beck 18. March 2018

Under­standing Russia

A Russian agent who switched sides is attacked with a military-grade nerve agent in a provincial English town. Prime Minister May holds Moscow respon­sible for the attack. Are we back in the...

‌Ralf Fücks 05. March 2018

Notes From Berlin — Another Fast Roundup of Current Political Devel­op­ments in Germany

What the decision for another „Grand Coalition” led by Chancellor Merkel implies for Germany, EU and the Transat­lantic Alliance.

‌Marieluise Beck 19. February 2018

Three years after Minsk II: Where are we now?

Recapit­u­lation of a faltering peace process: the second Minsk Agreement of February 2015, intended to put an end to the war in eastern Ukraine and to set a political process in motion,...

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